In this week’s recap: Stocks have a mixed reaction to ongoing uncertainty; additional fiscal stimulus on hold.
Weekly Economic Update
Presented by Paul Moffat, MBA, AIF®, September 28, 2020
THE WEEK ON WALL STREET
Stocks were mixed last week as worries that stretched from Washington D.C., where prospects of a new fiscal stimulus bill dimmed, to Europe, which saw an increase of new COVID-19 cases.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1.75%, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 0.63%. The Nasdaq Composite index gained 1.11% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, slumped 4.20%.1-3
Late Friday Rally Pares Losses
Dwindling chances of a federal fiscal stimulus, pre-election jitters, and worries over a second wave of coronavirus infections in Europe weighed heavily on investors.
The weakness in technology persisted. The Department of Justice proposal to curb legal protections for internet companies and require them to take greater responsibility for the content on their sites adding to that sector’s woes.4
Energy stocks were also hit hard on concerns of a slowdown in economic growth hurting oil demand.
The week wasn’t entirely absent of good news. Investors focused on reports of new progress in developing a vaccine and the passage in the House of Representatives of a bipartisan continuing resolution bill to fund the government through December 11th.5
Absent any apparent catalyst, stocks rallied in the final days of the week, cutting losses on major indices and powering the NASDAQ Composite to a weekly gain.
Fiscal Stimulus on Life Support
Market hopes for an additional fiscal stimulus bill, which were already fading, suffered another setback as events in Washington, D.C., appeared to make it more unlikely that lawmakers and the president could come together to fashion a compromise spending bill.
Many economists and market observers, along with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, believe that further spending may be needed to maintain the momentum of the current economic recovery.
T I P O F T H E W E E K
Applying for a mortgage online could save you some money in terms of closing costs, origination fees and interest rates as the online application cost is less for the lender to bear.
THE WEEK AHEAD: KEY ECONOMIC DATA
Tuesday: Consumer Confidence Index.
Wednesday: ADP (Automated Data Processing) Report. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
Thursday: Jobless Claims.
Friday: Employment Situation. Factory Orders.
Source: Econoday, September 25, 2020
The Econoday economic calendar lists upcoming U.S. economic data releases (including key economic indicators), Federal Reserve policy meetings, and speaking engagements of Federal Reserve officials. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and may not materialize. The forecasts also are subject to revision.
THE WEEK AHEAD: COMPANIES REPORTING EARNINGS
Tuesday: Micron Technologies (MU), McCormick (MKC).
Thursday: Constellation Brands (STZ), Pepsico (PEP), Conagra Brands (CAG).
Source: Zacks, September 25, 2020
Companies mentioned are for informational purposes only. It should not be considered a solicitation for the purchase or sale of the securities. Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost. Companies may reschedule when they report earnings without notice.
Q U O T E O F T H E W E E K
“Live out of your imagination, not your history.”
DR. STEPHEN COVEY
T H E W E E K L Y R I D D L E
A supermarket sign says you can buy energy bars at $12 a dozen. At that price, how much would it cost you to buy 100 energy bars?
LAST WEEK’S RIDDLE: A family has a mother, father, and four daughters. Each daughter has one brother. How many people are in the family?
ANSWER: Seven people - each of the daughters have one brother, there is not one brother for each daughter.
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Investing involves risks, and investment decisions should be based on your own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. The return and principal value of investments will fluctuate as market conditions change. When sold, investments may be worth more or less than their original cost.
The forecasts or forward-looking statements are based on assumptions, may not materialize, and are subject to revision without notice.
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1. The Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2020
2. The Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2020
3. The Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2020
4. The Wall Street Journal September 23, 2020
5. CNN.com, September 22, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2020
The Wall Street Journal, September 25, 2020
treasury.gov, September 25, 2020